2020年11月10日 · Other real-world adjustments companies have made as a result of scenario planning include making budgeting time horizons shorter or changing criteria-investment committee uses to assess new investments. The Saïd Business School team has also seen that scenario planning has a positive effect in creating strong new communities within an ...

2024年1月10日 · Scenario planning, often described in the industry as corporate foresight, is traditionally viewed as a method that enables an organization to establish the groundwork for a forthcoming competitive advantage. Facing such systemic challenges therefore requires a longer outlook than the typical five and 10-year horizon.

2022年1月19日 · Scenario planning comes naturally to Amy Webb, CEO of the Future Today Institute and Professor of Strategic Foresight, NYU Stern School of Business, but not everyone. Collectively, she says, we're becoming more short-termist, partly because accelerating technological progress means we can't gage how the future will look.

2025年1月15日 · Scenario planning for global value chains To meet the needs of the manufacturing sector in navigating the shifts impacting global value chains triggered by the eight driving forces, and the reality of looking at a time horizon 15-plus years away, the Council set out to create its own scenario-planning workshop exercise to map possible ...

2024年5月3日 · Scenario planning was originally developed in the 1950s and 1970s, and it builds on linear strategic planning. The fundamental departures are that the futures are different from the past, longer timeframes matter, and next-order impacts need to be captured.

2023年2月6日 · In the public sector, Singapore’s government is one of the earliest adopters of scenarios planning, making this a key part of its strategic planning and budget cycles. Due to its size and vulnerability to external events, Singapore’s engagement in strategic foresight has been a key source of comparative advantage.

2024年3月20日 · While working with trends might be less complex, technology road mapping and, in particular, scenario planning are more sophisticated approaches. An overview of developing foresight is provided in Strategic Foresight: An Introductory Guide to Practice .

2024年1月2日 · What the results suggest is that reports are used more often than future workshops (workshops looking at trends or scenarios). This is a critical finding: much has been argued that for the dissemination of foresight insights the active engagement of decision makers is critical, respective research on scenario planning stresses this point.

2023年5月12日 · Our two bookend scenarios include the optimistic Net Zero scenario where climate policies are introduced in an early and orderly manner, enabling the world to reach net zero by 2050. The more pessimistic Failed Transition scenario instead foresees no further policy actions and severe climate-related physical impacts, as the average global ...

2021年10月1日 · He has written books, including The Art of the Long View (1991), considered the seminal work on scenario planning, and has consulted on scripts for films including Minority Report and WarGames. In an interview for the World Economic Forum’s Radio Davos podcast , he described the three most plausible scenarios for the future of climate change ...